Monday, January 5, 2015
Economy
Economy: Out last Friday, Singapore's GDP expanded 1.5% y/y in 4Q, lower than estimates of 1.8%, weighed by a weaker manufacturing sector (-2%) due to the slowing growth in China and an uneven global recovery.
Services improved 2.6%, supported by the finance and insurance, as well as business services, while construction edged up 0.8%, underpinned by public-sector works.
This brought 2014's overall GDP growth to 2.8%, narrowing from 3.7% in 2013.
For the year ahead, the Ministry of Trade and Industry is projecting the economy to grow by 2-4%. However, it flagged downside risks to its forecast, citing a list of external factors:
1) Weak recovery in the eurozone, dampened by poor business and consumer sentiment due to the ongoing tensions in Russia and Ukraine;
2) Economic expansion in Japan and China may be capped by fiscal consolidation and sluggish real estate market, respectively;
3) Concerns that the eurozone may slip into a deflationary spiral, uncertainties over the timing of Fed interest rate hikes, as well as the risk of a sharp correction in China's property market.
With headwinds increasingly pointing towards a subdued economy, investors may continue to seek exposure to stocks with stable growth and yield.
Market Insight's Yield basket picks include:
- HPH Trust
- Mapletree Greater China Trust
- Sim Lian
- UMS
- Venture Corp
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