Thursday, October 2, 2014
Sitra
Sitra: ($0.016) Undervalued shell company with bonus hidden industrial property stake
Sitra expects to record a valuation surplus for the 10% stake it holds in an industrial property located at 18 Sungei Kadut Street 2.
The land, which has an open market value of $8.7m, will be redeveloped into a 0.3m sf gfa building over the next 18 months at an estimated cost of $55m, implying a total cost of $63.7m.
Upon TOP in Apr '16, consultant OrangeTee estimates the building will have a gross development value of $100m.
We therefore estimate the attributable valuation surplus arising from Sitra’s 10% stake at $3.6m (~0.5¢ per share), or 30% of its current market cap of $12m.
Incidentally, Sitra, which is listed on the Catalist-board, runs only a tiny outdoor furniture and wood-based furnishing business, and may be essentially viewed as a shell company.
In this respect, Sitra’s market cap already represents a steep 20% - 60% discount from the whispered price of between $15m and $20m for a shell company.
Having recently completed a 7-for-5 rights issue at 1¢ apiece, to raise ~$4.4m in gross proceeds, Sitra will be able to pare down its borrowings of $2.6m, and recapitalise its balance sheet to create a stronger growth platform.
Assuming:
i) shell company valuation: $15m +
ii) NAV post-rights: $5.7m +
iii) Valuation surplus from industrial property: $3.6m,
Sitra could have a sum-of-parts valuation of $24.3m (3.2¢ per share), representing nearly 100% upside from current levels.
Key risks:
- As a penny stock, the counter is prone to volatile price movements
- Lack of M&A interest to support shell company valuation
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