Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Petra
Petra: DMG initiates at Buy with DCF-based TP of $4.50.
Says, at a time when MNCs are craving to get a foothold in Indonesia’s chocolate confectionery market, Petra is showing no signs of relinquishing its dominant 53% market share.
Following the divestment of its upstream cocoa ingredients business, Petra is now an even purer play to rising consumption spending in ASEAN.
The house believes a premium to its Indonesian peers is justifiable for its excellent management track record and purer exposure.
Expects a 3-year net profit CAGR of 15.6% from FY14-16e, with potential upside from IDR strength.
Ongoing litigation with Barry Callebaut (BARN SW, NR) is a risk, but the house believes this will likely have no major impact on the company even in the worst-case scenario.
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