Friday, January 24, 2014
Thai Bev
Thai Bev: StanChart notes Suntory’s bid last week of US$15.9b for Beam, the world’s 7th largest spirits producer, translates to a deal multiple of 20.5x EV/EBITDA – a 56% premium to the global alcoholic beverage industry average, and a 41% premium to Thai Bev’s FY13e EV/EBITDA.
Attaching the M&A valuation multiple to Thai Bev would give the stock a blue-sky SOTP valuation of $0.88, according to StanChart.
Meanwhile, using sector average multiples suggest a more conservative SOTP-based valuation of $0.58 for Thai Bev.
Thai Bev trades at a 41% discount to the liquor sector average in terms of FY14e P/E.
StanChart maintains Outperform with TP $0.72.
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