Wednesday, November 20, 2013
CS 3Q13 Report card
CS 3Q13 Report card: After a few disappointing quarters, CS noted that 3Q13 was a better one. Of 56 companies covered, 27% had positive surprises while 32% disappointed.Aggregate net margins of these covered stocks increased about 1 ppt q/q to 8%.
Drivers for earnings beat as follows:
DBS: Surprised due to continued strength in non-interest income and stable NIMs and credit cost.
OCBC: Stable margins, supported by a surprise from Great Eastern’s strong MTM portfolio gains
SGX: Better mix and cost control
HLF: Lower than expected credit cost
Amtek: strong revenue growth
CD: Strong overseas bus contribution
M1: PAT ahead of expectations
First Resources: Improvement in palm oil revenues
NOL: smaller-than-expected loss on an FX gain, and better logistics contribution
However, consensus earnings for MSCI SG 2013 and 2014 continues to be downgraded. CS estimates largest cuts was in transport, cap goods, media and commodity.
CS likes DBS (O/PF, TP: $19.00) and Keppel (O/PF: $12.90)
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