Wednesday, December 26, 2012

SG Economics

SG Economics: Overall CPI rose a smaller-than-expected 0.1% mom NSA (consensus: +0.4%, Oct 12: -0.2%), pushing Nov CPI down to a 2-yr low of 3.6% yoy from Oct 12’s 4.0% (consensus: +3.8%, CIMB: +4.1%). Core inflation eased from 2.2% to 2.0% yoy due to cheaper clothing, footwear and household durables. Due to the low base effect and a sharp spike in COE premiums, CIMB expect Dec CPI to rebound to 4.0-4.2% yoy, bringing 2012 CPI to 4.6% (11M12: +4.6%). For 2013, house expect CPI inflation of about 4%, within the official forecast of 3.5-4.5%
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